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The archive · Climate & Energy · Strategic decision · 2016–2025

Tibber bets EU dynamic-tariff rules make real-time power the default; 1M users by 2023

App-first digital utility selling power at real-time market prices; EU 2024 market reform made dynamic price contracts a consumer right.

Tibber

The betThat selling electricity at real-time spot price, steered by an app, becomes the default — and EU rules entitling consumers to dynamic contracts would mainstream it.Scaling

What the business is

App-first electricity retailer that buys power at market price, sells it to households at cost-plus-subscription, and shifts EV, heating and battery use to cheap hours.

Starting capital$12M Series A (2019, Founders Fund) and $65M Series B (Nov 2020, Eight Roads/Balderton)

How it started

Founded in Oslo in 2016 by Edgeir Vårdal Aksnes and Daniel Lindén, who saw traditional utilities as opaque; launched app-first retail electricity at real-time prices with smart-home control, and took a $12M Series A from Founders Fund in 2019.

What happened

Expanded to Sweden, Germany and the Netherlands; raised a $65M Series B in Nov 2020 with 100,000 paying households; hit 1M users in Oct 2023 with ~SEK 8.3B 2022 revenue; EU electricity market design reform entered into force 16 July 2024, entitling consumers to fixed or dynamic price contracts and cementing the model; added the Homevolt battery, Grid Rewards and a residential VPP.

How it ended up

Still running and scaling: by Aug 2025 claimed Europe's largest residential VPP (137,000 MWh shifted in a year) and kept expanding across four markets.

Background

Tibber sells electricity the way an index fund sells investing: no fixed tariff and no markup on energy — customers pay the real-time wholesale price plus a flat app subscription, and the app shifts EV charging, heating and batteries to cheap hours. Founded in Oslo in 2016 by Edgeir Vårdal Aksnes and Daniel Lindén, it grew to 100,000 paying households by late 2020 and past 1,000,000 users across Norway, Sweden, Germany and the Netherlands by October 2023.

The bet was that real-time pricing plus software would beat conventional tariffs once regulators forced the market open. The EU electricity market design reform, in force since 16 July 2024, made dynamic price contracts an explicit consumer right and pushed suppliers to offer them — turning Tibber's pioneer model from a niche into the regulated default.

Tibber is still scaling: 2022 revenue reached about SEK 8.3 billion, and in 2025 it claimed Europe's largest residential virtual power plant, aggregating customer devices to sell grid-balancing services. The regulatory opening did not invent Tibber's model — it mainstreamed it, which is exactly what the founders bet on.

What has to be true

  • A digital retailer could only sell spot-priced power where regulation allowed it, so the law was part of the product from day one.
  • The EU's 2024 market-design reform made dynamic price contracts a consumer entitlement, validating the model faster than any marketing campaign.
  • Passing 1M users across four countries before the reform shows the bet worked even where dynamic tariffs were optional.
  • Aggregating customer devices into a VPP extends the same bet: flexibility markets, like tariffs, are being pried open by regulators.

What can be applied

When a regulation turns a niche model into a consumer right, the operator already running that model at scale captures the opening — regulators become part of the go-to-market plan.

Aftermath

As of September 2026 Tibber continues to operate in Norway, Sweden, Germany and the Netherlands with more than a million users. It expanded from tariffs into hardware and grid services — the Homevolt battery and Grid Rewards — and in 2025 claimed Europe's largest residential VPP, having shifted 137,000 MWh in a year. Its growth rests on the regulatory shift it bet on: dynamic tariffs are now a consumer right under EU law rather than an anomaly.

Sources

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