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The archive · AI & Models · Product decision · 2024–2026

Fundamental bets LLMs can't read spreadsheets: $255M at $1.4B for a tabular model

DeepMind alumni built NEXUS, a deterministic non-transformer model for enterprise tables; it left stealth in Feb 2026 with $255M at $1.4B

Fundamental

The betThat the most valuable data is tabular and LLMs are the wrong architecture — a deterministic non-transformer trained on billions of tables becomes the default predictor.Scaling

What the business is

Fundamental is a San Francisco AI lab whose model NEXUS — a 'large tabular model' (LTM) — ingests raw enterprise tables and predicts outcomes like demand, churn, fraud and equipment failure, replacing hand-built data-science pipelines with one line of code.

Starting capital$255M total: $30M seed plus $225M Series A led by Oak HC/FT with Valor Equity Partners, Battery Ventures, Salesforce Ventures and Hetz Ventures; angels include Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas, Wiz CEO Assaf Rappaport, Brex co-founder Henrique Dubugras and Datadog CEO Olivier Pomel

How it started

Founded in October 2024 by DeepMind alumni in San Francisco, Fundamental stayed in stealth while building NEXUS, a large tabular model trained on billions of real-world tabular datasets using Amazon SageMaker HyperPod. It emerged publicly on February 5, 2026 with $255M in funding.

What happened

The $30M seed and $225M Series A — led by Oak HC/FT with Valor Equity Partners, Battery Ventures, Salesforce Ventures and Hetz Ventures — priced the company at $1.4B post-money. NEXUS shipped with several seven-figure Fortune 100 contracts in demand forecasting, price prediction and churn, plus a deep AWS partnership where customers buy and deploy the model from their AWS dashboard using existing credits; AWS also supports encrypted deployments of the model inside customer environments.

How it ended up

Still running. As of mid-2026 NEXUS is generally available through AWS Marketplace and fundamental.tech, with a roughly 35-person team scaling compute, enterprise deployments and go-to-market.

Background

Fundamental is a San Francisco AI lab, founded in October 2024 by DeepMind alumni, that emerged from stealth on February 5, 2026 with $255M in funding at a $1.4B post-money valuation. Its product, NEXUS, is what the company calls a large tabular model (LTM): a foundation model purpose-built for the structured rows and columns that run enterprises, rather than for text.

The architectural bet is deliberately contrarian. CEO and co-founder Jeremy Fraenkel argues that LLMs tokenize numbers like words — '2.3' becomes three tokens — and cannot reason over billion-row tables, while enterprises still rely on manual feature engineering and XGBoost-era algorithms. NEXUS is deterministic, does not use the transformer architecture, and is trained on billions of tabular datasets; developers connect raw tables and label a target column, and the model returns predictions.

The $225M Series A was led by Oak HC/FT with Valor Equity Partners, Battery Ventures, Salesforce Ventures and Hetz Ventures, with angels including Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas, Wiz CEO Assaf Rappaport, Brex co-founder Henrique Dubugras and Datadog CEO Olivier Pomel. The company launched with several seven-figure Fortune 100 contracts in demand forecasting, price prediction and customer churn.

The go-to-market is built around a deep AWS partnership: AWS customers buy and deploy NEXUS from their AWS dashboard like compute or storage, using existing credits, and AWS supports fully encrypted deployments inside the customer's own environment — a structure Fraenkel calls one of the most integrated AI partnerships with Amazon. As of mid-2026 the ~35-person team is scaling compute, deployments and go-to-market.

What has to be true

  • The case is a clean contrarian-architecture bet: a deterministic, non-transformer model aimed at the data modality LLMs ignore, backed by $255M at a $1.4B valuation before anyone had seen it.
  • Traction is concrete and verifiable: seven-figure Fortune 100 contracts at launch, an AWS dashboard distribution deal, and same-day coverage by TechCrunch and VentureBeat.
  • It names the weakness precisely — number tokenization and context windows — which makes the bet falsifiable and the lesson transferable to any 'wrong architecture' incumbent.
  • The funding roster (Oak HC/FT, Valor, Battery, Salesforce Ventures plus CEO angels from Perplexity, Wiz, Brex and Datadog) shows how strongly the thesis resonated with enterprise-AI investors.

What can be applied

When hot models share an unexamined assumption — 'one architecture fits all data' — the wedge is the modality everyone ignores; a contrarian architecture bet can outraise another LLM clone.

Aftermath

As of 2026-09-02 Fundamental is post-launch and scaling: NEXUS is available to enterprises via AWS Marketplace and fundamental.tech, the team of roughly 35 is growing across research, engineering and go-to-market, and the company is expanding enterprise deployments beyond its initial Fortune 100 demand-forecasting, price-prediction and churn contracts. The core open question remains whether a single tabular foundation model can hold up across industries the way the company claims.

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